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Greenhouse Vegetable Production in Russia: Business Plan and Market Analysis

Дата выхода: 20 декабря 2011 г.

Объем: 185 стр.

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Презентация для инвестора в подарок

Greenhouse Vegetable Production in Russia: Business Plan and Market Analysis
36 000 руб.

 
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GLOBAL REACH CONSULTING(GRC)
Тел.: +7 (499) 409-3696 Факс: +7 (499) 995-1539
Понедельник-пятница: 9.30-18.30
E-mail: info@grconsulting.ru
г. Москва, ул. Бутырская, д.62 – бизнес-центр Z-Plaza

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SEE ALSO RUSSIAN VERSION


The aim of this project is to attract investments and to analyze economic efficiency of starting a commercial greenhouse business in Russia.

The financial model for the business plan is in Excel format. The fully automated financial model eliminates the possibility of errors in the calculations. You can only change the basic parameters of the project, and the whole model will be changed automatically.

CONCEPT

Products

INVESTMENTS AND FINANCING

  • Greenhouse complex for cultivation of vegetables and greens
  • Greenhouse area – *** ha
  • Projected production volume – up to 1.8 thousand metric tons of vegetables per year
  • Seedling unit
  • Auxiliary buildings and facilities
  • Greenhouse tomatoes
  • Greenhouse cucumbers
  • Greenhouse greens
  • Investments in the establishing of a greenhouse complex account for *** RUB. The term of the investment period is 13-14 months.
  • The project envisages to be financed through both borrowed funds (70%) and own funds (30%).
  • Disposal of products in the region of the project implementation, including

consumers

EQUIPMENT SUPPLIERS

 

Disposal of products in the region of the project implementation, including:

    Retail chains;

    Markets;

    Non-chain stores. 
    Entering the markets of other regions of Russia.

The project presupposes the use of greenhouse constructions and equipment of domestic production of *** company.

 

Preconditions for Successful Project Implementation

  • The increasing striving of population to a healthy lifestyle and, as a result, the growing consumption of fresh vegetables all year round (especially in winter and spring).
  • Growing interest in the fresh vegetables production in greenhouses by both large agricultural holdings and non-core investors.
  • The predominance of greenhouses using outdated crop cultivation technologies and equipment on the Russian market leads to a  further increase in abrasion of the majority of greenhouse

market analysis

  • Cucumbers and tomatoes are the major items growing in greenhouses. The share of pepper, eggplants and greens accounts for ***%. Cucumbers, greens and tomatoes are the most profitable items.
  • The majority of greenhouse vegetable production in Russia occurs in the Volga Federal District with a share of ***%. In 2010 the production volume here accounted for *** metric tons.
  • Domestic demand for greenhouse products is met by domestic vegetables less than 50%.

1.

PROJECT SUMMARY

2.

PROPOSED PROJECT

 

2.1.

Project Area Description

 

2.2.

Product

 

2.3.

Construction Features of the Project

 

 

2.3.1.

Land Plot for Greenhouse Complex Construction

 

 

2.3.2.

Initial Permissive Documentation

 

 

2.3.3.

General Site Lay-Out Design

 

2.4.

Characteristics of Equipment and Construction Features

 

2.5.

Production Technology

 

2.6.

Other Technological Issues

 

 

2.6.1.

Low -Volume Growing Technology

 

 

2.6.2.

Hydroponics

 

 

2.6.3.

Drip Irrigation

 

 

2.6.4.

Supplementary Lighting Technology

 

 

2.6.5.

Evaporative Cooling System

 

 

2.6.6.

Curtain System

 

 

2.6.7.

Co2 Injection

 

 

2.6.8.

Sulphuration

 

 

2.6.9.

Biological Means of Plant Protection

 

 

2.6.10.

Natural Pollination

 

2.7.

Environmental Aspects of Production

3.

INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

 

3.1.

Russian Greenhouse Market

 

 

3.1.1.

Development of Greenhouse Technologies

 

 

3.1.2.

Market Overview

 

 

 

Market Capacity and Volume

 

 

 

Market structure

 

 

3.1.3.

Production of Greenhouse Products

 

 

 

Production Overview

 

 

 

Production Structure

 

 

 

Greenhouse Companies

 

 

3.1.4.

Greenhouse Areas in Russia

 

 

 

Areas Overview

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

3.1.5.

Challenges and Prospects

 

3.2.

Russian Fresh Vegetable Market

 

 

3.2.1.

Market Volume

 

 

 

Market Volume Dynamics

 

 

 

Market Share of Imported Products

 

 

3.2.2.

Market Segmentation

 

 

3.2.3.

Fresh Vegetable Retail Sales

 

 

 

Retail Sales Volume

 

 

 

Geographical Distribution of Retail Sales

 

 

3.2.4.

Fresh Vegetable Market Forecast for 2011-2013

 

 

 

Fresh Vegetable Production Forecast

 

 

 

Retail Sales Forecast

 

 

 

Vegetable Consumption Forecast by Federal Districts

 

 

3.2.5.

Domestic Vegetable Production

 

 

 

Area Harvested

 

 

 

Greenhouse Vegetable Production

 

 

 

Largest Producers

 

 

3.2.6.

Imports and Exports of Fresh Vegetables

 

 

 

Imports

 

 

 

Exports

 

 

3.2.7.

Prices for Fresh Vegetables

 

 

 

Producer Prices for Greenhouse Vegetables

 

 

 

Retail Prices

 

3.3.

Light Zones of Russia

4.

INVESTMENT PLAN

 

4.1.

Investment Costs

 

4.2.

Working Capital

 

4.3.

Project Finance

 

 

4.3.1.

Borrowings

5.

OPERATIONAL PLAN

 

5.1.

Sales Plan

 

5.3.

Project Staff

 

5.4.

Operating Costs

6.

FINANCIAL PLAN

 

6.1.

Conditions and Assumptions for Calculation

 

6.2.

Taxation

 

6.3.

Calculation of Revenue

 

6.4.

Statement of Cash Flows

 

6.5.

Income Statement

 

6.6.

Balance Sheet

7.

ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY

 

7.1.

Economic Efficiency Analysis

 

 

7.1.1.

Investment Efficiency

 

 

 

Discounted Payback Period Method

 

 

 

Net Present Value Method

 

 

 

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

 

 

 

Average Rate of Return (ARR)

 

 

7.1.2.

Efficiency Ratios

 

 

7.1.3.

Project's Financial Viability

 

7.2.

Risk Assessment

 

 

7.2.1.

Risk Analysis

 

 

7.2.2.

Qualitative Risk Analysis

 

 

7.2.3.

Sensitivity Analysis

 

7.3.

Break-Even Analysis

APPENDIX 1. SANITARY-HYGIENIC AND SANITARY- ANTIEPIDEMIC REQUIREMENTS FOR GREENHOUSE

APPENDIX 2. MANUFACTURERS OF GREENHOUSE EQUIPPMENT

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1.

Capacity and Volume of Russian Greenhouse Market, 2008, in 1,000 metric tons

Figure 2.

Structure of Russian Vegetable Market by Origin of Products, 2008, %

Figure 3.

Vegetable Production in Greenhouses in Russia, 1990-2008, Metric Tons

Figure 4.

The Share of Greenhouse Vegetables in the Total Vegetable Production Volume in Russia, 2005-2008, %

Figure 5.

Production of Greenhouse Flowers in Russia, 2007-2015, Million Units

Figure 6.

Structure of Greenhouse Vegetable production by Major Type of Vegetables in Russia, 2008, %

Figure 7.

Structure of Greenhouse Vegetable production by Type of Greenhouses in Russia, 2007-2010, %

Figure 8.

Geographical distribution of the Largest Greenhouse Complexes (more than 6 ha) by Federal District, units and  %

Figure 9.

Geographical Distribution of New Projected Greenhouse Complexes by Federal District, %

Figure 10.

Dynamics of Greenhouse Areas in Russia, 1974-2010, in 1,000 ha

Figure 11.

Greenhouse Areas in Various Countries of the World, 2009, in 1,000 ha

Figure 12.

Structure of Greenhouse Area in Russia by Type of Greenhouse, 2009, %

Figure 13.

Greenhouse Area in Russia by Type of Greenhouse, 2010, %

Figure 14.

Greenhouse Area Dynamics in Russia Including Projects in Early 2009, 2006-2010, ha

Figure 15.

Investments of Non-Core Investors in Vegetable and Flower Greenhouse Projects, 2006-2010, Million EUR

Figure 16.

Russian Fresh Vegetable Market Volume,2007-2010, 1,000 Metric Tons

Figure 17.

Market Share of Imported Products, 2007-2010 , %

Figure 18.

Russian Fresh Vegetable Market Segmentation By Type of Vegetables, 2010 , %

Figure 19.

Import Share In Different Segments of Vegetable Market In Volume, 2010,%

Figure 20.

Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales Dynamics,2000-2010, RUB billion

Figure 21.

Share of Potatoes In Fresh Vegetable Retail Sales Structure, 2010, %

Figure 22.

Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales, 2000-2010, Thousand Metric Tons

Figure 23.

Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales Structure By Federal District, 2009, %

Figure 24.

Dynamics of Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales Structure by Federal District, 2005-2009

Figure 25.

Share of Moscow and Moscow Region In Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Trade Structure, 2010, %

Figure 26.

Forecast of Field and Greenhouse Vegetable Production for 2011-2013, 1,000 and %

Figure 27.

Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales Forecast  for 2011-2013, 1,000 tons and %

Figure 28.

Vegetable Consumer Demand in 2015 by Type,%

Figure 29.

Vegetable Area Harvested in Russia, 2004-2010, Thousand Ha

Figure 30.

Vegetable Area Harvested Structure by Type of Vegetable, 2010, %

Figure 31.

Greenhouse Vegetable Production Structure by Farm Type, 2010,%

Figure 32.

Greenhouse Vegetable Production Structure and Dynamics by Farm Type, 1997-2010,%

Figure 33.

Geographical Distribution of Greenhouse Vegetable Production by Federal District, 2010, %

Figure 34.

Fresh Vegetable Production in Russian by Major Company, 2009,%

Figure 35.

Dynamics of Russian Vegetables Producers Revenue, 2003-2009, Thousand RUB

Figure 36.

Structure of Fresh Vegetable Imports By Product in Volume,2010,%

Figure 37.

Structure of Fresh Vegetable Imports By Product in Value, 2010, %

Figure 38.

Tomato Imports in Value and Volume Terms, 2006-2010, $1,000 and metric tons

Figure 39.

Tomato Imports by the Country of Origin in Volume,2010, %

Figure 40.

Tomato Imports by Country of Origin in Value, 2010,%

Figure 41.

Cucumber Imports in Value and Volume Terms, 2006-2010, $1,000 and  metric tons

Figure 42.

Cucumber Imports by the Country of Origin in Volume,2010, %

Figure 43.

Cucumber Imports by the Country of Origin in Value, 2010,%

Figure 44.

Producer Prices for Greenhouse Tomatoes by Federal Districts, 2006- 2010, 2М 2011, RUB/metric ton

Figure 45.

Average Prices for Greenhouse Tomatoes in Russia by Federal District, 2010б RUB/Ton

Figure 46.

Producer Prices for Greenhouse Cucumbers by Federal District, 2006- 2010, 2М 2011, RUB/ton

Figure 47.

Prices for Greenhouse Cucumbers by Federal Districts in Russia, 2010, RUB/ton 

Figure 48.

Consumer Prices for Tomatoes by Federal Districts, 2007- 2М 2011, RUB/kg

Figure 49.

Average Consumer prices for Tomatoes by Federal District, 2М 2011, 2М 2010 and 2010, RUB/kg

Figure 50.

Consumer Prices for Cucumbers by Federal District, 2007- 2М 2011, RUB/kg

Figure 51.

Average Consumer Prices for Cucumbers by Federal District, 2М 2011, 2М 2010 and 2010, RUB/kg

Figure 52.

Light Zones of Russia

Figure 53.

Investment Cost Structure, %

Figure 54.

Project Financing Structure, %

Figure 55.

Credit Servicing, 1000 RUB

Figure 56.

Sales Plan, % maximum volume per year

Figure 57.

Production Structure by Type of Vegetables, %

Figure 58.

Planned Production Dynamics, metric tons

Figure 59.

Dynamics of Revenues, 1000 RUB

Figure 60.

Cash Flows (in 1,000 RUB)

Figure 61.

Cash balance (1,000 RUB)

Figure 62.

Net Profit Dynamics (in 1 000 RUB)

Figure 63.

Dynamics of Net Sales, Gross Profit and Profit Before Tax (in 1 000 RUB)

Figure 64.

Payback Schedule (in 1 000 RUB)

Figure 65.

Profitability Ratios Dynamics, %

Figure 66.

Profitability Ratios Concerning the Project

Figure 67.

Net Working Capital (in 1 000 RUB)

Figure 68.

Sensitivity Analysis (NPV, in 1 000 RUB)

Figure 69.

Break-Even Point (in 1,000 RUB)

 

 

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1.

Greenhouse Complex Areas, hectares

Table 2.

Products of the Future Greenhouse Complex

Table 3.

Initial Permissive Documentation

Table 4.

Length of the Shade Depending on Height of Solstice and Shading

Table 5.

Infrastructure (auxiliary buildings) of the greenhouse complex

Table 6.

Comparative Analysis of Technical Properties of Greenhouse Constructions of Various Manufactures

Table 7.

Construction Cost of Greenhouse Complex

Table 8.

Works and Materials for Projected Greenhouse Complex

Table 9.

Production Technology in Future Greenhouse Complex

Table 10.

Energy-Saving Measures and Their Effects

Table 11.

Largest Greenhouse Complexes In Russia by Greenhouse Area, Ha

Table 12.

Geographical Distribution of Largest Greenhouse Complexes in Russia

Table 13.

Russian Fresh Vegetable Market Segmentation By Product,2007-2010, Thousand Metric Tons

Table 14.

Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales By Federal District, 2005-2009, Thousand RUB

Table 15.

Fresh Vegetable and Potato Retail Sales By Russian Region, 2007-2009, Thousand RUB

Table 16.

Consumer Demand for Vegetables in Russian Federation by Federal District and Type of Vegetables for 2015, Thousand Metric Tons

Table 18.

Greenhouse Vegetable Production By Type of Greenhouse, 1990-2010, Thousand Tons

Table 19.

Top 20 Russian Regions in Greenhouse Vegetable Production, 2008, 2010, Thousand Quintals

Table 20.

Top Fresh Vegetable Producers in Russia, 2003-2009, Thousand RUB

Table 21.

Major Tomato Importers, 2006-2010,  Metric Tons

Table 22.

Major Tomato Importers, 2006-2010, $1,000

Table 23.

Major Cucumber Importers, 2006-2010, Metric Tons

Table 24.

Major. Cucumber Importers, 2006-2010, $1,000

Table 25.

General Structure of Russian Vegetable Exports by HS Codes, 2006-2010, metric tons

Table 26.

General Structure of Russian Vegetable Exports by HS Codes, 2006-2010, $1,000

Table 27.

Maximum and Minimum Prices for Greenhouse Tomatoes by Top 10 Russian Regions, 2010., RUB/ton

Table 28.

Top 10 Russian Regions by Maximum and Minimum Prices for Greenhouse Cucumbers, 2010., RUB/ton

Table 29.

Consumer Prices for Tomatoes by Region, February of  2011 , RUB/kg

Table 30.

Consumer Prices for Cucumbers by Region, February of  2011 , RUB/kg

Table 31.

Geographical Distribution of Light Zones for Greenhouse Vegetables by Russian Region

Table 32.

Project Investment Costs (in 1,000 RUB)

Table 33.

Project Financing Structure

Table 34.

Credit Servicing, 1000 RUB

Table 35.

Production and Sales Volume

Table 36.

Sale Prices and Project Revenue

Table 37.

Project Staffing Plan

Table 38.

Operating Costs Calculation (RUB)

Table 39.

Operating Costs by Product

Table 40.

Tax Rates and Payment Amounts for the Period of Planning

Table 41.

Project Revenues, 1,000 RUB

Table 42.

Statement of Cash Flows (in 1,000 RUB)

Table 43.

Income Statement (in 1,000 RUB)

Table 44.

Balance Sheet (1000 RUB)

Table 45.

Project Efficiency ratios

Table 46.

Financial Ratios of the Project

Table 47.

Risk Assessment Methods

Table 48.

Qualitative Risk Analysis

Table 49.

Sensitivity Analysis

Table 50.

Break-Even Point (in 1,000 RUB)

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